That overwhelming fracking problem?

All we’ve heard for the last decade is the overwhelming, undeniable, evidence points to the fact that fracking has caused an increase in earthquakes in central United States.

No one can possibly question this statement of fact or risk being taunted in the exact same manner one would have been if they had the audacity to question global warming.  You’re a flat-Earther, Moon landing denier, you’re mentally challenged.   Seriously:

Now, the upside to this rather simple explanation for the increased earthquake issue is something the very simple-minded could understand, stop fracking.

There.

Problem solved.

However, as with almost every hot-button politically correct issue of the last twenty years, the problem is not what the activists think it is, and therefore, their solution won’t solve the problem.

This, is apparently the actual, real, problem:

Likely cause for recent southeast US earthquakes: Underside of the North American Plate peeling off

That sounds a lot more ominous than “stop fracking”.  However, that’s because it is.  As with “global climate change”, the underside of the North American plate peeling off into the Earth’s core is not something man is going to “correct” any time soon.  Blaming it on corporate America, greed, or Republicans won’t stop it.  Passing some bizarro tax won’t stop it either.  It has occurred since the dawn of Man and will continue long after our generations are gone.  And, if it does stop, so will mankind.

As with “climate change”, we’ll just have to figure out how to live with it since it will never, ever, realistically, go away.

The reality of this one is a lot simpler than proving the reality of man-made global climate change.  With the collapse of the oil industry, the fracking industry is dying a very rapid death.

By the end of this year, fracking production will be next to nothing.

How many people want to take the bet that the earthquakes will stop?

Hayward Fault

Scientists think they know where the next big earthquake will be in California.  Namely, right here:

See the town of Hayward?  That town sits right on the Hayward Fault.  ( That should be a MAJOR clue. )  Now, I would be a little more skeptical of Livescience’s article, but I remember watching a baseball game a few years ago and watching an earthquake knock it off the air.  Apparently they get pretty good ones all the time.  Now, the problem I have is unlike hurricanes, major earthquakes are not predictable.  Unlike tornadoes, earthquakes can devastate an entire region, knocking out infrastructure.  Unlike almost anything else, earthquakes can change the lay of the land making immediate reparations impossible.  However, given the awesome destructiveness of a major earthquake, and knowing the history of the area, some 2 million plus people have called the Hayward Fault home.   That’s a lot of people.  Let’s think of this way, it’s four times the population and density of the area affected by Katrina.  And, we knew Katrina was coming.  The next “big one” for Hayward won’t give us that luxury of planning.

Bottom line, knowing what we know, and the Californians knowing what they know, will they still try to blame FEMA if the President is a Republican when it does hit?  I mean, they’ve been warned.  Now the political playing field is exactly the same.  Everyone knew New Orleans could flood, and it did.  We all know it’s just a matter of time before a major earthquake hits California again.  But, people still move there.  I have several friends that live there.  They’re not morons.  They know the risks involved of being there.  But, when the next big one does come, how many people in that area will blame it on FEMA, the government, or anything other than their own decision to live there when people die and property is destroyed?

Final bottom line, there is risk involved no matter where you live.  That’s a given.  However, what is bothering me of late is people seem to refuse to acknowledge that risk and when that risk materializes, blame someone else for their own decision to live there.  Bad things are going to happen anywhere, there WILL be a major earthquake in Hayward.  No if’s and’s or but’s.  The Midwest will suffer from floods and tornadoes.  No if’s and’s or but’s.  The deep South will have hurricanes.  The northeast freezing cold and dangerous blizzards.  Earth is just a dangerous place.  Don’t blame it on FEMA or anyone else, you’ve been warned.

The Next Big One?


13761 days 16 hours 53 minutes 4 seconds until the next big one?

 

A colossal earthquake that caused damage from South Carolina to Washington D.C. and temporarily reversed the course of the Mississippi River nearly two centuries ago could be repeated within the next 50 years, scientists said today.

Strain is building on a fault near Memphis, Tennessee that was the site of a magnitude 8.1 earthquake in 1812, according to new observations that settle a debate on the risk of another huge quake.

The odds of another 8.0 event within 50 years are between 7 and 10 percent, geologists said today. The assessment, based on new data from a recently installed array of sensors, puts to rest a 1990s claim that strain was not increasing.

Well, I live a little east of New Madrid.  It would shake things here, but shouldn’t hurt too bad.  Once you start getting into the mountains, the texture of the Earth changes and kind of absorbs the shake a lot better.  However, this would prove catastrophic IMO.  We just don’t prepare for earthquakes in the east like they do in the west.  Memphis, St. Louis, Nashville, Louisville, and Cincinnati are all right in the heart of the New Madrid fault.  That could be very nasty.

However, they’ve been predicting a killer quake in California my entire life.  They are putting the chances of a killer quake on New Madrid in the next 50 years at about 7 to 10 per cent ( depending on who you ask ).   My bet is it’s lower.

Until then, I would like to see that area ( my own included ), better prepare for quakes.

 

The Day the Earth Changed

I don’t think some people realize how big an event the Christmas Tsunami was.  Besides the massive death toll, it changed the Earth.  Very few times in a person’s life will they actually witness an event that changes the actual world.  Not man’s world, but the world itself.

That was Trinkat Island.  It is now two islands.  Some islands are gone.  The world actually slowed down 3 microseconds.

The magnitude of this event still amazes me.