Obama and Scalia and Trump

I don’t trust Obama.  I think he’s morally bankrupt.  Just thought I’d get that out of the way to avoid any confusion from this point on.

That being said, the death of Antonin Scalia has thrown a major wrench in the 2016 presidential election.  The ramifications I expect, and do understand I’m not a paid commentator or live in north Virginia for the most part.

  1. Obama will use this to push his agenda, not in an effort to show respect to the Founding Fathers.  I expect Eric Holder will be a major consideration, if not the out-and-out expected nominee.  He’s wildly liberal, he’s from Chicago, he’s black, and his religion is questionable at best.  And, he has an open contempt of the US Constitution, at one point arguing that international law trumps Constitutional Law, a point Obama has often cited in his support of global warming mandates.
  2. There will be a bloodbath in the confirmation process unlike anything we’ve ever seen.  The problem being that since 1997, the sitting Democrats still in office argued that they had no  Constitutional expectation to confirm any Presidential nomination to the Supreme Court.  And, as recently as 2007, Chuck Schumer spoke at length that the Democrats should not support any Bush nominee because it was an election year.  Which at the time, it wasn’t.  Being as this one is, that makes Schumer and the rest look remarkably hypocritical, which I doubt they really care.  They know their voters will support them anyway.
  3. This will change the course of the Republican primary.  Donald Trump has enjoyed a political free ride this election cycle.  No matter how crazy he acts, people have laughed and voted for him.  NOW, it’s serious.  NOW, a moderate Supreme Court judge could tilt the balance to the liberals for a while on some issues.  NOW, gun control becomes realistic.  NOW, those whacky liberal tendencies Trump has mean something.  Advantage Cruz and Rubio.
  4. Trump’s sudden scorched-Earth attacks on Jeb’s brother could NOT come at a worse time.  Iraq was litmus for conservative and liberal extremes.  There is no in-between.  There was no N0-Fly zones for a decade.  There was no Bill Clinton shooting million dollar missiles at camels in a desert.  There was no Iran/Iraq chemical warfare the United Nations sanctioned both Iran and Iraq over.  None of that exists with those two groups.  It ALL started when George W. Bush invaded Iraq for no real reason.  Either you supported it, or you were lied to.  The Republicans for the most part supported it.  The Democrats, Hollywood, and left media all were suddenly “lied to”.  Nancy Pelosi, who supported it before, suddenly had no clue what she was voting for and had been lied to once the two took sides.  Trump has suddenly taken up with the liberals in a huge way in his attacks on George.  He’s 100% in the liberal camp on this issue.  I don’t think most Republicans want to take the chance that his judicial nominee would have that philosophy.  People who take things like this seriously have to be walking away from Trump right now.  I know I have.  He has no chance with me in the primary now.  South Carolina, in five days, will tell us for sure what’s going on.  One week before South Carolina, Trump has a 20 point lead.  I bet it shrinks.
  5. Lastly, although the Constitution is clear how this works, look for MOST people to completely disregard the Constitution when arguing how the other guy is ignoring the Constitution.  I hope my readers here read a little more than that.  The President nominates, which Obama can do at any time he wishes.  The Senate confirms, which any Senator can, or can not do, at any time.  There is no time limit and just because the President nominates does not guarantee the nominee HAS to be confirmed.  Just ask Harriet Miers, Robert Bork, or Douglas Ginsburg.

Quickie update, change that to Loretta Lynch.  She’s perfect for Obama.  Wildly liberal, openly shows preference to Muslims ( promising to prosecute anyone who disparages Muslims ), female, and socialist Democrat ).  Loretta openly opposes MOST of the Constitutional Amendment.  Notably gun control, obviously freedom of speech and freedom of religion.  As Attorney General, her credentials are impeccable.  Perfect.  Expect her nomination the first day the Senate convenes in order to maximize conflict in an election year and further polarize this country.